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Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
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06-15-2010, 02:09 AM
Post: #21
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RE: Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
EU Referendum has highlighted major concerns regarding the BP leak:
Quote:The Oil Drum is a reputable and well-founded site, and its talking about the collapse of the well in the Gulf of Mexico and the leakage of the entire reserve ... billions of barrels. In other words, it's about to get a whole lot worse. Oil Drum page is here: http://www.theoildrum.com/node/6593/648967 "Correlation is NOT Causation"
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06-21-2010, 01:48 PM
Post: #22
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RE: Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
Here is the beginning of the redistribution game:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsb...-well.html The rules of the game: USA government essentially sues BP for damages related to the oil spill. Then BP sues partners, contractors, and anyone else that could possibly be involved, most of which will be American multinationals. While this is happening it is likely that oil and gas prices will see a rise for a variety of reasons ranging from restricted drilling, to more costly safety and environmental regulations, etc. There will also be a negative influence (jitters or worse) on the financial markets as the potential liabilities of these companies becomes evident. Will BP be financially hurt in the end? No chance! Although it will suffer a temporary blip and a bit of a dent in its reputation. Who will ultimately be hit in the pocket? A great many shareholders, pension funds, and other investments, and of course consumers (the public in general) right across the world. Who wins? Three guesses - you won't need that many. "Correlation is NOT Causation"
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06-21-2010, 10:37 PM
(This post was last modified: 06-21-2010 11:57 PM by Richard111.)
Post: #23
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RE: Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
Fascinating! Meanwhile China has made a statement of intent to reduce carbon emissions while continuing to build a new coal powered generating station every week. Of course their emissions are based on population which is growing faster than the global carbon emissions so they are on a win-win.
To me it looks like the western world is handing over its inheritance to China and India as they cannot compete in the global population race. This business of the oil is an opportunistic undermining of the western economy under the guise of carbon emissions. Frankly, we are seeing Darwin's theory of survival of the fittest in operation. Evolution at its finest! The problems we face today are because the people who work for a living are outnumbered by those who vote for a living. - ANON |
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08-23-2010, 06:49 AM
Post: #24
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RE: Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
Here's a new report on oil spills:
http://carbon-sense.com/wp-content/uploa...ills-1.pdf It talks about Peak Oil too. "Correlation is NOT Causation"
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09-07-2010, 07:16 AM
Post: #25
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RE: Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
http://www.bakersfield.com/news/business...ld-in-Kern
Oxy discovers large oil field in Kern BY JOHN COX, Californian staff writer Jul 22 2009. Old news, maybe, but... Over at the Jeff Id's Air Vent blog, on this thread, post 24. Pat Frank commented, September 3, 2010, " I have relatives near there. Scuttlebutt is that the field is much larger than they’re currently letting on. Also, that the discovery is at 30,000 feet, in a geological formation previously unassociated with oil. They expect to pump it out at less than $10 a barrel. " Intriguingly, Pat continues... " Oxy apparently developed an in-house geological theory about potential oil reservoirs, did the test, and it paid off big time. " Hmmmm..... The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary. H. L. Mencken. The hobgoblins have to be imaginary so that "they" can offer their solutions, not THE solutions. |
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09-08-2010, 04:52 AM
Post: #26
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RE: Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
Russians Debunk Peak Oil Theory - as Bogus as Greenhouse Gas Scam by John O'Sullivan
http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=6261 Quote:Russians prove ‘fossil’ fuel is junk science theory linked to global warming hype. Oil is shown to be mineral in origin-not from fossilized organisms. No more fears over shrinking reserves as experts say petroleum is naturally ‘renewable.’ "Correlation is NOT Causation"
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09-08-2010, 11:27 AM
Post: #27
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RE: Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
Wow, just wow, and a great find Questioning_Climate.
It has been a quiet day for me today, I have been pondering a line of thought, that this piece has crystalised for me - THANK YOU. "We" have been so very, very nieve about political science, and the politicisation of "scientists". The politics, and politicisation has been so, so obvious, for so, so long. Gallileo, Wegener, Krug, Bellamy, Morner, Miskolczi, to name just a few off the top of my head. (That refused to be poltical, or politicised) Heck, it even took 80 years for Darwin's theory to be properly considered, and then accepted (mostly...). Incidentally Darwin had left the "debate" in disgust at the tactics employed in regards to questioning his theory, and died before knowing his theory was eventually accepted. Yes, this is going to have to be developed into a bit (gross understatement) of a rant / soap box in another thread by me. Obviously it has to also include received / taught misconceptions. Our misconceptions, the politicisation of "sciences" and "scientists", and the perversion of Popper by so many, and virtually all so called "respected scientists", that might explain why this forum is so quiet. It's all reflected / repeated in the "fossil" fuel / peak oil scam, the IPCC reports, and the Green / AGW agendas. The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary. H. L. Mencken. The hobgoblins have to be imaginary so that "they" can offer their solutions, not THE solutions. |
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09-09-2010, 12:34 AM
Post: #28
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RE: Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
Over at the blog GREENIE WATCH
By John Ray (M.A.; Ph.D.), writing from Brisbane, Australia. His personal comments and opinions down the right hand side of the page include this quote: Quote:The claim that oil is a fossil fuel is another great myth and folly of the age. They are now finding oil at around seven MILES beneath the sea bed -- which is incomparably further down than any known fossil. The abiotic oil theory is not as yet well enough developed to generate useful predictions but that is also true of fossil fuel theory The new DEEP oil and gas find in the USA is another pillar to support these claims that oil is NOT fossil, it is being produced all the time way deep down in the planet. Until recently we could only access the stuff that had percolated up to the "fossil" level thereby becoming contaminated by the idea it is created by plants and animals. The problems we face today are because the people who work for a living are outnumbered by those who vote for a living. - ANON |
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09-09-2010, 05:36 AM
Post: #29
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RE: Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
E. M. Smith, otherwise known as Chiefio, seems to be commenting on abiotic oil over at WUWT.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/09/08/i-...ent-478310 Quote:E.M.Smith says: The problems we face today are because the people who work for a living are outnumbered by those who vote for a living. - ANON |
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09-09-2010, 05:38 AM
Post: #30
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RE: Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
I've been spammed again!!!
The problems we face today are because the people who work for a living are outnumbered by those who vote for a living. - ANON |
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09-09-2010, 09:53 AM
Post: #31
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RE: Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
Seems like I am still spammed so here is the link:
There is no energy shortage March 20, 2009 by E.M.Smith Note the date. The stuff of interest for this thread is about half way down the page. The problems we face today are because the people who work for a living are outnumbered by those who vote for a living. - ANON |
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09-09-2010, 12:27 PM
Post: #32
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RE: Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
Dear "spammer", I checked the akismet folder and there was your post,
so I've deselected it, and now it's here, post 29 I believe. BTW - Sunsettommy sent me this link, http://www.viewzone.com/abioticoilx.html Fossils From Animals And Plants Are Not Necessary For Crude Oil And Natural Gas, Swedish Researchers Find Excerpt, " researchers at the Royal Institute of Technology (KTH) in Stockholm have managed to prove that fossils from animals and plants are not necessary for crude oil and natural gas to be generated. The findings are revolutionary since this means, on the one hand, that it will be much easier to find these sources of energy and, on the other hand, that they can be found all over the globe. "Using our research we can even say where oil could be found in Sweden," says Vladimir Kutcherov, a professor at the Division of Energy Technology at KTH. Together with two research colleagues, Vladimir Kutcherov has simulated the process involving pressure and heat that occurs naturally in the inner layers of the earth, the process that generates hydrocarbon, the primary component in oil and natural gas. According to Vladimir Kutcherov, the findings are a clear indication that the oil supply is not about to end, which researchers and experts in the field have long feared. " For interested parties / passing guests to this forum. The above link is an excellant "introduction" to the subject area, well worth spending a couple of minutes reading, I'd suggest. If you have more time, or your interest is for more on the subject area, may I suggest, The Oil is Mastery blog. Helpfully intended hint - the Oil is mastery blog front page is MASSIVE, you have to scroll down a long, long way, and then a bit further, to get to the abiotic oil "section".. One of my favourite links in that section is this one, Stalin And Abiotic Oil. Later "BP" UPDATE.. Over at tAV I have just spotted this post, dated September 9, 2010, http://noconsensus.wordpress.com/2010/09...igs-safer/ which links to this article, http://www.newsdaily.com/stories/tre67n5...-microbes/ Excerpt, " The micro-organisms were apparently stimulated by the massive oil spill that began in April, and they degraded the hydrocarbons so efficiently that the plume is now undetectable, said Terry Hazen of Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. These so-called proteobacteria — Hazen calls them “bugs” — have adapted to the cold deep water where the big BP plume was observed and are able to biodegrade hydrocarbons much more quickly than expected, without significantly depleting oxygen as most known oil-depleting bacteria do. " Jeff Id wrote in the thread at tAV linked to above, " The biggest oil spill in history, and it’s gone. " I'll add, perfectly naturally. The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary. H. L. Mencken. The hobgoblins have to be imaginary so that "they" can offer their solutions, not THE solutions. |
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09-09-2010, 03:31 PM
Post: #33
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RE: Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
It is our attitude toward free thought and free expression that will determine our fate. There must be no limit on the range of temperate discussion, no limits on thought. No subject must be taboo. No censor must preside at our assemblies. –William O. Douglas, U.S. Supreme Court Justice, 1952 |
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09-09-2010, 03:38 PM
Post: #34
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RE: Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
Thank you all for the interesting readings.
I guess that, regardless of biotic/abiotic origin of oil, the most difficult argument is that of the ‘EROI’ Energy Return On Investment. An article about a leaked German military study in SPIEGEL ONLINE has been tweeted all day long: Military Study Warns of a Potentially Drastic Oil Crisis Excerpt: Quote:The scenarios outlined by the Bundeswehr Transformation Center are drastic. Even more explosive politically are recommendations to the government that the energy experts have put forward based on these scenarios. They argue that "states dependent on oil imports" will be forced to "show more pragmatism toward oil-producing states in their foreign policy." Political priorities will have to be somewhat subordinated, they claim, to the overriding concern of securing energy supplies. The economic and political analysis, even though drastic, matches the belief in oil peak, and i don´t think that German military are naive or ignorant. Merkel´s decision to extend life span of nuclear plants a couple of days ago is also thought provoking. Ni cien conejos hacen un caballo, ni cien conjeturas una evidencia (F. Dostoyevski) |
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09-09-2010, 09:48 PM
Post: #35
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RE: Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
""They argue that "states dependent on oil imports" will be forced to "show more pragmatism toward oil-producing states in their foreign policy."""
That sums up the policy. Now they must apply science and become oil independant. The problems we face today are because the people who work for a living are outnumbered by those who vote for a living. - ANON |
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09-10-2010, 01:45 PM
Post: #36
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RE: Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
EM Smith states quite correctly that:
Quote:It is “Producing as much per year as you ever can”. That is, it’s “Peak Production Rate” not quantity. The oil business is driven by a balance between supply and demand while maximising profit. It plays the markets and adjusts output to meet economic and political goals. It plays/controls the oil markets and adjusts output to meet economic and political goals. Most of the largest oil companies are state owned and others are part of cartels, for example OPEC. Imagine how it might be if the majority of operators were small and private entities. Before I waffle on further, it is important to realise the difference between reserves and resource. Reserves are the economic and political measure of the quantity available and/or potentially available within the short term. Reserves are NOT the resource. Resource is the amount contained within the earth based upon naive extrapolations using the ‘accepted’ wisdom. An analogy might be Bill Gates finances where he has a certain amount of cash in his wallet (reserves) but has considerably more in his bank account/portfolio (resources). Reserves are but a drop in the ocean of the resource. There is no lack of oil or gas, just a lack of incentive to extract it. Environmentalism and NIMBY-ism (E&N) prevents, to a great extent, exploration onshore and offshore in much of the western world. Further east, it is more generally accepted that hydrocarbons are a natural mineral resource and in most cases it is perceived to be limitless. E&N are thus favourable to the oil industry because it keeps the price of oil and gas higher than it would otherwise be in richer countries and ‘forces’ the oil companies to operate in regions where production costs are lower due to cheaper labour rates with further savings resulting from less stringent health/safety and environmental legislation. The industry would play differently if there was any perceived lack or possibility of resource limitation. It would seem a good idea to put a little more perspective on the whole issue of oil (also applies to gas) using an example. Oil is still extracted in the area where the oil industry originated; furthermore it can still be pumped from one of the first wells, although not at an economic rate, by today’s standards: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_Well_Museum I have been to the museum and seen it for myself, and signed the visitors’ book, if you care to check. Conventional reservoirs are volumes of accumulated oil. They are NOT the source of the oil. That is much deeper and may even be quite a long distance away in the lateral sense. Oil from the source rock has to migrate to regions where it is trapped to become a conventional reservoir. This can only be achieved by transport through the rocks when they are permeable or fractured. The key to the Russian/Ukrainian theory is the deep origin and the need for fractured basement rock to allow hydrocarbons to seep through and up to depths where we can extract it. Recent shifts towards this theory have been taking place within the oil industry and with the advent of accurate directional drilling, and deep drilling capabilities, it has become possible to pin-point and intersect the said fractures. In a sense, this partially or possibly completely circumvents the need for an accumulation/reservoir. It may also allow very rapid rates of recovery over much greater periods of time. The Gulf of Mexico (GOM) is a great example. Its importance lies in the fact that the area was hit by a huge meteor, millions of years ago, that fractured the rocks to a great depth, several kilometres. There is thus a route for migration of hydrocarbons from the source beneath the basement formations to shallower depths. As such there is a significant continuous seep across the entire GOM area that is completely natural and that can be seen by satellite. Said leak has been happening for very much longer than man has been exploiting hydrocarbons, possibly millions of years. Had the hydrocarbons been of biological origin, they would have been exhausted before man discovered them and probably before man even existed. If the oil industry was able to, it would be targeting the extremely deep water at the centre of the impact site. It might even be the Holy Grail for the industry. However, at present, that is not technically and/or economically possible. The GOM is not unique in terms of being highly fractured. Many other regions have deep fracturing and often this is associated with rift valleys or other fault features, for example the North Sea. Here smaller companies are re-exploring the regions the majors decided were uneconomic and re-opening old wells, some of which have apparently gained significant quantities since abandonment. Effectively, without MSM attention, the oil industry has moved to the Russian/Ukrainian theory. Actually, it might be unfair to the MSM to say that, in as much as the pressure from environmental groups, the continuing cover-ups to support the fossil paradigm (limited resource) and trade secrets within the industry are probably enough to throw the MSM off the scent. Like in all industries, the oil companies are keen to protect any intellectual property that gives them an advantage. Interestingly, this appears to include some Russians who claim to have moved technology forward in a major step, although there is the possibility/probability that they are using decoy tactics: http://physicsworld.com/cws/article/news/9260 http://physicsworld.com/cws/article/print/9244 http://www.chamco.net/images/alkor/ML%20...Vision.htm http://www.cisoilgas.com/article/Quick-QampA/ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Torsion_field The geographical area in the first two links is the East Midlands, UK, which has been an important source of onshore oil in the UK since before WW2. So it is not a new field and reports of seepage are recorded from way back. In fact during WW2 trains laden with oil from this field were hidden in railway tunnels ready to be dumped into the English Channel and set alight if an invasion fleet had approached the shores of England. Hydrocarbons, mostly oil, are still extracted and several new licences have been applied for. I believe at least one well has been drilled recently, within the last few months, despite lobbying against it. The point here is that the Russians know there is oil and long term seepage in the area and they also know how to extract it. They didn’t need to resort to micro-leptons, if in fact that is a cover. It remains to be seen whether the oil company (not Russian) that has recently tapped the oil has long term success but they were certainly very optimistic and have apparently been recovering significant (economic) quantities. But have they exploited the deep oil that the Russians would have provided the UK with? To summarise, because of the conventional ‘fossil’ theory the general trend has been to explore for oil in the wrong areas. However, technological developments beyond that of traditional drilling systems were necessary to get to the best geological formations closer to the sources. These developments required the energy and economic structures from conventional wells to power the progress. So, we come back to the question, is oil abiotic/abiogenic? The answer is yes. Does the oil industry know this? Yes, of course they do but they will not explicitly say so because it is not in their interests and to be honest, there are still an awful lot of people in the oil industry who are not able to grasp/accept the fact a shift in theory has taken place. Their bible has been rewritten but they cannot bring themselves to read it. "Correlation is NOT Causation"
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09-10-2010, 01:55 PM
Post: #37
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RE: Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
In post 34,
(09-09-2010 03:38 PM)strogoff Wrote: I guess that, regardless of biotic/abiotic origin of oil, the most difficult argument is that of the ‘EROI’ Energy Return On Investment. Isn't that just another way of saying peak oil fears are true, and unquestionable, so we'll be forced to do so and so... Which is NOT regardless of so called "peak fossil fuel oil fears", it is accepting them blindly in the first place. It is simply a belief. Back to considering the very real (read already proven) possibility of the mostly, if not completely, abiotic origins of oil, I would suggest, is a far more sensible and scientific way forward. It would certainly be a far less alarmist and reasonable approach. NB (to all) - Please read Questioning_Climate's post, number 36 above. I realised a few years ago (care of SST and Q_C ) that if ever there was a vested interest group it has to be the "group" in denial of the abiotic origins of oil. Why else would "we" in the UK accept £5 a gallon. AND, would the oil companies or governments tell us about it.......If ever there was a no-brainer, this HAS to be it. Of course they wouldn't tell "us". If you have ANY other explanation, please, please, put it forward. The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary. H. L. Mencken. The hobgoblins have to be imaginary so that "they" can offer their solutions, not THE solutions. |
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09-10-2010, 11:48 PM
Post: #38
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RE: Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
""Why else would "we" in the UK accept £5 a gallon.""
I don't accept it! I have no option! This is NOT a free market product. I drive miles on occasion to save 5p a liter. £2.50 on a tank full. Don't have the financial resources to fill up each time, so taking on a half tankfull is probably not saving me anything. The problems we face today are because the people who work for a living are outnumbered by those who vote for a living. - ANON |
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09-11-2010, 03:20 AM
(This post was last modified: 09-11-2010 04:05 AM by strogoff.)
Post: #39
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RE: Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
Q_C, what a speech!
Thanks, a lot of new things for me. The microleptons issue quite amused me. Could it be a red herring? Maybe russians are hiding their real tech and use that difficult microleptons to mislead Western countries (LOL when thinking about county council technicians dealing with approval reports or greenies arguments against microleptons).This reading is very interesting: Confessions of an “ex” Peak Oil Believer (F William Engdahl, 2007) Quote:The 2003 arrest of Russian Mikhail Khodorkovsky, of Yukos Oil, took place just before he could sell a dominant stake in Yukos to ExxonMobil after a private meeting with Dick Cheney. Had Exxon got the stake they would have control of the world’s largest resource of geologists and engineers trained in the a-biotic techniques of deep drilling. (09-10-2010 01:55 PM)Derek Wrote: In post 34, Derek, sorry, maybe I´m "lost in translation" and explained myself badly. "Peak oil fears" are true; "peak oil" (maybe) not. The thing is that peak oil fears and biotic theory are encysted in public opinion, German military (unless the leak of the report were a plot or something alike) or, as Q_C tells us, an awful lot of people in the oil industry. Happens something similar with food production, and the real fear is that the TIMING of technology advancement, mainly hindered by environmentalism and NIMBY-ism, wouln´t catch up with political an economical developments. In these contexts, fear itself must be feared:
Ni cien conejos hacen un caballo, ni cien conjeturas una evidencia (F. Dostoyevski) |
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09-11-2010, 09:04 AM
Post: #40
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RE: Is abiotic oil becoming mainstream..
Peak oil fears have been going on since the late 1800's.It is so easy to see that it is baloney.
Here is one link worth reading THE OIL RESERVE FALLACY Here is a link to a page with literally hundreds of links that explore the topic of Peak Oil and the side issues that come with it. Popular Technology It is our attitude toward free thought and free expression that will determine our fate. There must be no limit on the range of temperate discussion, no limits on thought. No subject must be taboo. No censor must preside at our assemblies. –William O. Douglas, U.S. Supreme Court Justice, 1952 |
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Thanks, a lot of new things for me. The microleptons issue quite amused me. Could it be a red herring? Maybe russians are hiding their real tech and use that difficult microleptons to mislead Western countries (LOL when thinking about county council technicians dealing with approval reports or greenies arguments against microleptons).